Monday, May 27, 2019

Hazardous Weather Outlook for McHenry Co., IL

<pre>FLUS43 KLOT 271742
HWOLOT

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
1242 PM CDT Mon May 27 2019


Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-Cook-
La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Will-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-
Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
1242 PM CDT Mon May 27 2019 /142 PM EDT Mon May 27 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North Central
Illinois...Northeast Illinois and Northwest Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

Significant Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
Elevated Tornado risk.
Elevated hail risk...up to half dollar size.
Elevated damaging wind risk...up to 70 mph.
Elevated Flooding Risk.

DISCUSSION...

No significant changes to the severe weather threat today.
The most likely corridor still appears to be along and southwest of
Chicago where a more unstable airmass will be overlaid with a
northward moving warm front.

The ongoing area of showers and thunderstorms is likely to move across
northern IL through the early afternoon. The main hazards are
occasional lightning and briefly heavy rain, some areas may
see up to one half inch or so in a short time. Additional
thunderstorm development is probable across the area by mid to
late afternoon, generally emanating from an area of upper level
forcing across Iowa. These thunderstorms have the potential to be
severe, with large hail, damaging winds, and some tornadoes. The
primary timing for these severe thunderstorms is looking to be in
the 3 PM to 9 PM timeframe. Coverage of severe weather is still a
bit uncertain.

Very heavy rainfall is also likely to accompany these storms, and
this could result in some localized flash flooding, especially if
multiple storms move over the same areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Tuesday...
Elevated Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
Elevated Flooding Risk.
Wednesday...
Limited Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
Limited Flooding Risk.
Limited Non Thunderstorm Wind Risk.
Thursday through Sunday...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk.

DISCUSSION:

Strong to severe storms are possible again Tuesday night. There
will also be a threat of heavy rain and flash flooding
with these storms Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters will likely be needed across the area late this
afternoon and early this evening.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Moving toward the east northeast at 40 to 45 mph.
</pre>


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