Saturday, May 23, 2020

Hazardous Weather Outlook for McHenry Co., IL

<pre>FLUS43 KLOT 230929
HWOLOT

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
429 AM CDT Sat May 23 2020


Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-
La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-
Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will-
Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
429 AM CDT Sat May 23 2020 /529 AM EDT Sat May 23 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North Central
Illinois...Northeast Illinois and Northwest Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

Significant Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
Elevated Tornado risk.
Elevated hail risk...up to ping pong ball size.
Limited damaging wind risk...up to 60 mph.
Limited Flooding Risk.

DISCUSSION...

A strong disturbance and an unstable air mass will yield a risk
for at least scattered severe thunderstorms this afternoon into
this evening. The most intense thunderstorms will be capable of
producing large hail and potentially isolated very large hail. In
addition, a few to several tornadoes are possible. The most
favored portion of the area looks to be near and north of the
Illinois and Kankakee Rivers, though severe thunderstorms are
possible area wide.

The favored time range for the severe threat is approximately 100
PM to 900 PM CDT. Furthermore, given the wet conditions of late
and elevated river levels, very heavy downpours from thunderstorms
will be capable of producing isolated to instances of flash
flooding, along with renewed river and stream rises. After the
primary severe and flooding threat ends, the potential exists for
thunderstorms to focus east of I-57 into the early overnight,
which could prolong the flooding risk for those areas, especially
in northwest Indiana.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Sunday through Tuesday...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk.
Wednesday...
Elevated Thunderstorm Risk.
Thursday and Friday...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk.

DISCUSSION:

There will be daily scattered thunderstorm chances amidst very
warm and humid conditions Sunday through Tuesday, with possibly
higher coverage of thunderstorms by mid week. Any thunderstorms
will be capable of producing heavy downpours and possibly an
isolated flooding risk. Thunderstorm chances may be limited to
areas south of I-80 or south of there by Thursday and especially
Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters will likely be needed this afternoon and evening.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Moving toward the east northeast at 35 mph.
</pre>


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