Thursday, April 3, 2014

Public Severe Weather Outlook for Mchenry Co., IL

WOUS40 KWNS 031643
PWOSPC


PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1142 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE
OZARKS REGION TO PARTS OF THE MID-SOUTH AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

The NWS Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK is forecasting the
development of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds from the
Ozarks region to parts of the Mid-South and lower Ohio Valley this
afternoon and tonight.

The areas most likely to experience this activity include:

most of Arkansas
southern Illinois
far southwestern Indiana
western Kentucky
northern Louisiana
central and southern Missouri
northwestern Mississippi
western Tennessee

Elsewhere, severe storms are also possible from the lower-Missouri
Valley to western Ohio and southwestward to central Mississippi,
eastern Oklahoma, and eastern Texas.

A strong disturbance 3-7 miles above ground will move northeastward
out of the Four Corners and Rockies today, causing winds to
strengthen over the outlook area. As that happens, a cold front
will overtake a dryline from north to south across parts of eastern
Kansas, Missouri, and eastern Oklahoma. When the front and dryline
encounter sunshine-heated and richly moist air to their east,
thunderstorms should erupt and become severe, with help from that
increase in surrounding winds.

The greatest threat for very large and damaging hail will be with
the early, western storms in Missouri, Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma,
potentially into northeast Texas this afternoon and evening, while
the damaging-wind hazard will ramp up this evening and possibly
overnight in the Mississippi Valley. Tornadoes --some strong with
EF2 or worse damage-- also are possible with the greatest risk of
occurrence across central and southern Missouri southward through
most of Arkansas.

State and local emergency managers are monitoring this developing
situation. Those in the threatened area are urged to review severe
weather safety rules and to listen to radio, television, and NOAA
Weather Radio for possible watches, warnings, and statements later
today.

..Mead/Edwards.. 04/03/2014



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