Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 20:40:25.7368074

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL AND SERN IA / NWRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 260140Z - 260245Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SEVERE WIND THREAT WILL INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY ACROSS
E-CNTRL IA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS AN APPROACHING LINEAR TSTM
COMPLEX APPROACHES THE AREA.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST HR ALONG A
PRE-FRONTAL WINDSHIFT IN CNTRL IA EXTENDING NEWD TOWARDS THE MS
RIVER. THESE STORMS HAVE INTENSIFIED AND ARE BEGINNING TO POSE AN
ISOLD WIND RISK. FARTHER W...AN ORGANIZED LINEAR COLD POOL/TSTM
COMPLEX WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE E IN TANDEM WITH THE EWD PROGRESSION
OF THE COLD FRONT. AS SUCH...CURRENT THINKING IS THE SEVERE WIND
RISK WILL SPREAD DOWNSTREAM ACROSS E-CNTRL IA AND PERHAPS NWRN IL
LATE THIS EVENING.

..SMITH/GUYER.. 07/26/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...

LAT...LON 42239233 42859135 42818967 42208964 41039029 40859174
40809315 42239233