Saturday, July 23, 2016

Mesoscale Discussion for Mchenry Co., IL

ACUS11 KWNS 231950
SWOMCD

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1376
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN IA...SRN WI...NRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON

VALID 231950Z - 232015Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A WW WILL BE COORDINATED WITH THE AFFECTED WFO/S SHORTLY.

DISCUSSION...PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT A DEVELOPING LINE OF TSTMS
IN ERN IA -- ADDRESSED IN SWOMCD 1374 -- WILL SPREAD EWD WITH VERY
UNSTABLE INFLOW SUPPORTING SVR POTENTIAL. LEAD CONVECTION WILL ALSO
POSE A SVR RISK. CONCERN IS GROWING THAT THE DMGG-WIND RISK IS
INCREASING.

..COHEN/WEISS.. 07/23/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...

LAT...LON 42329192 42959129 43058956 42798795 42088783 41778835
41949093 42329192

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