INDIANA...CENTRAL KENTUCKY...AND NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE
EXTREME SOUTHERN INDIANA...CENTRAL KENTUCKY...AND NORTHERN MIDDLE
TENNESSEE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
ALABAMA
GEORGIA
ILLINOIS
INDIANA
KENTUCKY
MISSISSIPPI
OHIO
TENNESSEE
ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM EAST
CENTRAL/NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO CENTRAL/NORTHERN ALABAMA AND
NORTHERN GEORGIA...NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHWEST OHIO.
MORNING WEATHER DATA CONFIRM A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE TOWARD THE LOWER
OHIO VALLEY...IN ADVANCE OF A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IN MISSOURI. THIS SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE TOWARD SOUTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN BY THIS EVENING...ALLOWING THE MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO
SPREAD TO NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER PRIOR TO THE PASSAGE
OF A COLD FRONT. SEVERE STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG AND IN
ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT BY MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON...AT THE SAME
TIME THE WINDS THROUGH ALL LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME VERY
STRONG. THESE FACTORS WILL RESULT IN A FAVORABLE SETUP FOR
FAST-MOVING TORNADIC STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LONG-TRACK/DAMAGING
TORNADOES IN THE HIGH RISK AREA OF EXTREME SOUTHERN
INDIANA...CENTRAL KENTUCKY...AND NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS
AFTERNOON.
A SEPARATE BAND OR TWO OF SEVERE STORMS IS ALSO EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA INTO NORTHERN GEORGIA...ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE QUITE AS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES COMPARED TO
FARTHER NORTH IN THE HIGH RISK...BUT MULTIPLE SEVERE STORMS WITH A
FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS POTENTIALLY
VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO
REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO
RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE
WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..THOMPSON.. 03/02/2012
